TL;DR:

  • Hurricanes -1.5, UNDER 5.5 goals
  • Kent State -7
  • Kentucky -16.5

 

Are you a hockey fan? Do you like watching hockey games? Can you name 5 current professional hockey players? Well, if you’re like me, the answers are: no, no, and definitely not. But you do like making money, and so do I. And there’s definitely money to be made in hockey. Without further ado, let’s bet on America’s most boring sport together.

LA Kings @ Carolina Hurricanes

  • Line: Carolina -1.5, OVER/UNDER 5.5
  • Time: 2/26, 7:00 PM ET

We’re about to settle an age-old argument: who would win in a fight between a king and a hurricane? Surprisingly, the answer is the massive spiraling storm that can wreak havoc on millions.

The Kings are the lowly bottom dwellers of the Western Conference this year, sporting a thoroughly unimpressive 23-32-7 with a -46 goal differential on the year. The Canes on the other hand are 33-23-6, 9th place in the East, and are 8-2 in their last 10 games.

The Hurricanes have been playing well at home, to the amusement of all 7 hockey fans living in the Carolinas. They’re 16-10-4 in Carolina, while the Kings are 11-17-5 away.

I’m taking Carolina -1.5 and UNDER 5.5 goals, both at 1u.

The Kings are a really bad team and Carolina appears to at least be kind of good. They rank 1st in the league in shots/game while LA ranks 29th. The Canes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games and they’ve won 5 out of their last 6.

I know a 5.5 UNDER bet can be scary, but these teams just don’t score against each other. There is a very real chance the game finishes at 2-0. The last time they played, in early December, that was the exact score (albeit the Kings won in LA). In the Hurricanes’ last 8 games, 7 of those contests finished under 5.5 points. Plus, the Kings have only scored a total of 5 points in their last 3 road games.

So if you’re tuning into a 7PM hockey game today, let’s hope for a low-scoring Canes win.

Now on to some basketball:

Ohio @ Kent State

  • Line: Kent State -7.0, OVER/UNDER 144.0
  • Time: 2/26, 7:00 PM ET

Kent State is twice the team that Ohio University is this year. It’s a home game for Kent State, who’s 12-2 on their own court so far. The Bobcats, on the other hand, are 2-8 in away games.

I’m betting 1 unit on Kent State -7.

Kent State has won 5 of its last 6 home games, with the one loss being against a great Buffalo team. In those 5 home wins, they’re winning by an average of 8.6 points. Ohio is getting absolutely destroyed on the road. Their 2 road wins this year were in December and January against Detroit and Ball state, respectively. In their 8 road losses, they’ve lost by an average of almost 24 points per game. That’s fucking embarrassing. In the last matchup between these two perennial basketball powerhouses, Kent State won @ Ohio by 14 points. Lastly, Kent State lost by 23 to Buffalo while Ohio lost to the same squad by 47. So, at least according to the BuffaloMeter, this should be a no-brainer.

Arkansas @ Kentucky

  • Line: Kentucky -16.5, OVER/UNDER 143.0 points
  • Time: 2/26, 9:00 PM ET

I love the Kentucky line in this matchup. I’m confidently taking Kentucky -16.5. The line opened at Kentucky -18.0 but has since shifted down. Kentucky is coming off a 27-point win at home against Auburn, who is noticeably better than Arkansas, a middle-of-the-pack SEC team who won’t make the tournament.

There was a lot of speculation last week that Kentucky would falter without their starting big man, Reid Travis, who is likely out until the SEC tournament. Instead, the Wildcats stepped up and completely crushed a very talented Auburn team. Kentucky’s point differential in its last 6 home games is +16.5, which sets directly at tonight’s line. That includes a 2-point home loss to LSU. The other 5 games have been blowouts.

Arkansas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games, while Kentucky is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 and 5-1 ATS in its last 6 at home. Kentucky is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 home games against Arkansas.

I also like the UNDER, but I’m not confident enough to bet it.

I warned you all last week to take Joey Bosa -200 to be the first player taken in the 2019 NFL draft. This week, those odds have gone down to -175. Now is the time to make that bet, if you haven’t already. I think the recent change is due to a faint chance that another team trades into the #1 spot and picks Kyler Murray. Barring that possibility, Arizona should take Bosa, the dynamic edge rusher the Cardinals need. They just chose a QB in the 1st round last year, so I really don’t see that happening again.

Alright guys, let’s go make some money together.

 

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